Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#72
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#89
Pace68.1#127
Improvement-0.6#203

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#72
Improvement+0.4#160

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#72
Improvement-1.0#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2014 122   Utah St. L 55-60 74%     0 - 1 -5.1 +0.0 +0.0
  Nov 21, 2014 273   Weber St. W 73-64 88%     1 - 1 +3.1 -3.0 -3.0
  Nov 23, 2014 70   Old Dominion W 64-45 50%     2 - 1 +25.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Nov 24, 2014 86   Seton Hall L 80-84 54%     2 - 2 +1.5 +2.7 +2.7
  Nov 29, 2014 285   Youngstown St. W 85-73 OT 92%     3 - 2 +2.5 -4.8 -4.8
  Dec 02, 2014 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-66 45%     3 - 3 +3.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 07, 2014 129   @ UAB W 78-74 55%     4 - 3 +9.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 14, 2014 139   @ DePaul W 78-72 57%     5 - 3 +10.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Dec 17, 2014 187   Tennessee Martin W 64-54 84%     6 - 3 +5.7 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 20, 2014 78   @ Murray St. L 77-89 40%     6 - 4 -3.0 +4.5 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2014 184   Purdue Fort Wayne W 68-43 84%     7 - 4 +20.8 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 31, 2014 170   Indiana St. L 61-63 82%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -5.4 -1.7 -1.7
  Jan 04, 2015 19   @ Wichita St. L 62-70 19%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +8.0 +8.0 +8.0
  Jan 07, 2015 245   Drake W 81-45 90%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +28.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 11, 2015 246   @ Missouri St. W 69-55 79%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +12.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 14, 2015 170   @ Indiana St. L 70-71 OT 66%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +1.4 +1.2 +1.2
  Jan 17, 2015 242   Bradley W 82-72 90%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +2.5 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 20, 2015 245   @ Drake W 64-56 79%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +6.2 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 25, 2015 27   Northern Iowa L 53-54 40%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +8.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Jan 28, 2015 246   Missouri St. W 67-57 90%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +2.3 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 31, 2015 136   @ Loyola Chicago W 48-45 57%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +7.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 03, 2015 133   Evansville W 77-51 76%     14 - 8 7 - 4 +25.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 07, 2015 226   @ Southern Illinois L 59-65 75%     14 - 9 7 - 5 -6.4 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 11, 2015 27   @ Northern Iowa L 64-83 21%     14 - 10 7 - 6 -4.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Feb 14, 2015 19   Wichita St. L 62-68 36%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +4.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Feb 18, 2015 242   @ Bradley W 60-47 79%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +11.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Feb 21, 2015 136   Loyola Chicago W 67-60 77%     16 - 11 9 - 7 +6.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 25, 2015 226   Southern Illinois W 73-56 88%     17 - 11 10 - 7 +10.8 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 28, 2015 133   @ Evansville W 69-67 OT 56%     18 - 11 11 - 7 +7.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Mar 06, 2015 133   Evansville W 71-67 67%     19 - 11 +6.1 +1.1 +1.1
  Mar 07, 2015 19   Wichita St. W 65-62 26%     20 - 11 +16.1 +6.6 +6.6
  Mar 08, 2015 27   Northern Iowa L 60-69 30%     20 - 12 +3.1 +6.0 +6.0
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%